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今天小編給大家分享的是論文精讀系列17。歡迎您的用心訪問！
本次分享的碩士論文題目是《基於貝葉斯網路的農超對接供應鏈風險預警模型研究》，本期將學習第三章內容，一起來看看吧！
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Dear you， this is LearningYard Academy
Today‘s Xiaobian to share with you is the paper intensive reading series 16。 Welcome to your attentive visit！
The title of the master’s thesis shared this time is “Research on the Risk Early Warning Model of Agricultural Super Docking Supply Chain Based on Bayesian Network”， and this issue will learn the content of the third chapter， let‘s take a look！
第三章主要透過梳理總結前人關於農產品供應鏈風險的研究成果，結合“農超對接”供應鏈的特點，從內部風險、外部風險兩個方面對供應鏈的風險進行分析，並透過實地調研和問卷調查的方式進行進一步的實證研究，最終得到出“農超對接”五大類風險。
作者將“農超對接”中的內部風險歸納為生產管理風險、企業管理風險、對接合作風險、技術風險。其中，生產管理風險中的主要因素包含日常生產管理不到位、質量管理不到位、生產計劃風險、生產標準不合理。
The third chapter mainly analyzes the risks of the supply chain from the aspects of internal risks and external risks by combing and summarizing the research results of the predecessors on the risks of the supply chain of agricultural products， combined with the characteristics of the “agricultural super docking” supply chain， and conducts further empirical research through field research and questionnaire surveys， and finally obtains five categories of risks of “agricultural super docking”。
The author summarizes the internal risks in “Agricultural Super Docking” as production management risks， enterprise management risks， docking cooperation risks， and technical risks。 Among them， the main factors in the production management risk include the lack of daily production management， the lack of quality management， the risk of production planning， and the unreasonable production standards。
管理能力不足、財務制度不完善是“農超對接”供應鏈企業管理風險的主要影響因素。
Insufficient management capabilities and imperfect financial systems are the main influencing factors for the management risks of “agricultural super docking” supply chain enterprises。
能力不對等、合作方式不當、資訊不對稱、道德風險是“農超對接”供應鏈對接合作風險的主要影響因素。
Unequal capabilities， improper cooperation methods， information asymmetry， and moral hazard are the main influencing factors of the “agricultural super docking” supply chain docking cooperation risk。
儲存技術風險、冷鏈技術風險、資訊化平臺不完善、人員操作失誤、加工技術風險、運輸配送風險是“農超對接”供應鏈技術風險的主要影響因素。
Storage technology risks， cold chain technology risks， imperfect information platforms， personnel operation errors， processing technology risks， transportation and distribution risks are the main influencing factors of the technical risks of the “agricultural super docking” supply chain。
對於“農超對接”供應鏈的外部風險，作者歸納了以下幾類：自然環境風險、市場環境風險、政治經濟風險。其中，自然環境風險的主要影響因素包含自然災害和環境汙染。市場環境風險的主要因素包含市場競爭、價格波動、消費者偏好。政治經濟風險的主要影響因素包含政策法律風險和經濟環境風險。
For the external risks of the “agricultural super docking” supply chain， the author summarizes the following categories： natural environmental risks， market environment risks， and political and economic risks。 Among them， the main influencing factors of natural environmental risks include natural disasters and environmental pollution。 The main factors of market environment risk include market competition， price fluctuations， and consumer preferences。 The main influencing factors of political and economic risks include policy and legal risks and economic environmental risks。
最後，作者透過問卷調查法確定了“農超對接”供應鏈的23個風險因素，如下表所示，並透過信度檢驗和效度分析對問卷結果進行了有效性分析以及主因子分析，以保證指標的代表性。
Finally， the authors identified 23 risk factors of the “agricultural super docking” supply chain through the questionnaire survey method， as shown in the following table， and conducted a validity analysis and main factor analysis of the questionnaire results through reliability test and validity analysis to ensure the representativeness of the indicators。
本期的分享就到這裡，如果您對今天的文章有獨特的想法，歡迎給我們留言，讓我們相約明天，祝您今天過得開心快樂！
The sharing of this issue is here， if you have a unique idea for today’s article， welcome to leave us a message， let us meet tomorrow， I wish you a happy and happy day！
翻譯參考來源：Google翻譯。
內容參考來源：
［1］謝樂。 基於貝葉斯網路的農超對接供應鏈風險預警模型研究。
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